December saw an across the board price rally. A lot of factors came into play this month and the rally felt overdone many times, but nevertheless, it continued. There were arguments to be made on the fundamental and technical side Read more…
Check out our recent interview with Oliver Sloup of Blue Line Futures
For as much as it’s talked about, especially in the current market environment, volatility is misunderstood by many people. That’s not surprising, it’s a very difficult concept, and something traders spend their whole lives struggling with. It’s the only variable Read more…
There are a lot of reasons why the market might react differently than expected when a major piece of information has come out. However, it seems like this has been happening with greater frequency in the grain markets over the Read more…
We emphasize changes in skew a lot in our reports and many of you may be wondering why? As option traders, we have long seen skew as a leading (or supplementary) indicator of price movement. What do we mean? We Read more…
Debates over the yields are raging right now, but does it really matter? Of course it will matter when it all gets sorted out, but it may not help as much as you’d expect in the short term. The markets Read more…
If you’re looking to the news to forecast prices, you’re a day late. The real news of tomorrow is found by looking at what the futures market is giving you.
Lately we’ve had some choppy trade in the Ag markets. Fundamentals seem to point lower, technicals seem to point higher, demand is sometimes robust and other times questionable, supply is ample, but the trade war looms over all. The market Read more…
Over the past 3 weeks the Corn market has been a little bit volatile. This isn’t the rip your face of double limit up volatility of years past, but volatility in the new sense, the new normal…for now. We’ve seen Read more…
There seems to be tons of information out already about the large crop. Could we be surprised with this number? We doubt it, yet front month vol is quite high given all the knowns that are already out there. Oct Read more…