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November 2021 Monthly Recap

November was a choppy month, with potential upside and downside breakouts, but ultimately remaining range bound and finishing the month with little fanfare. We started the month on a failure after a strong finish to October. Wheat made new highs, Read more…

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By CaerusTradingGroup, 1 yearDecember 8, 2021 ago
Monthly letter

December Monthly Letter

December saw an across the board price rally. A lot of factors came into play this month and the rally felt overdone many times, but nevertheless, it continued. There were arguments to be made on the fundamental and technical side Read more…

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By CaerusTradingGroup, 2 yearsJanuary 8, 2021 ago
CTA

Interview With Blue Line Futures

Check out our recent interview with Oliver Sloup of Blue Line Futures

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By CaerusTradingGroup, 2 yearsDecember 22, 2020 ago
Black Scholes Model
Volatility

Vol Changes vs Moving Up and Down The Skew

For as much as it’s talked about, especially in the current market environment, volatility is misunderstood by many people. That’s not surprising, it’s a very difficult concept, and something traders spend their whole lives struggling with. It’s the only variable Read more…

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By CaerusTradingGroup, 3 yearsApril 22, 2020 ago
reports

Report Numbers don’t always match market response

There are a lot of reasons why the market might react differently than expected when a major piece of information has come out. However, it seems like this has been happening with greater frequency in the grain markets over the Read more…

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By CaerusTradingGroup, 3 yearsApril 14, 2020 ago
Volatility

Why Skew Matters

We emphasize changes in skew a lot in our reports and many of you may be wondering why? As option traders, we have long seen skew as a leading (or supplementary) indicator of price movement. What do we mean? We Read more…

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By CaerusTradingGroup, 3 yearsApril 8, 2020 ago
reports

Speculating On Final Yields May Be Costly

Debates over the yields are raging right now, but does it really matter? Of course it will matter when it all gets sorted out, but it may not help as much as you’d expect in the short term. The markets Read more…

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By CaerusTradingGroup, 4 yearsOctober 7, 2019 ago
Uncategorized

Reading The News Vs. Reading The Markets

If you’re looking to the news to forecast prices, you’re a day late. The real news of tomorrow is found by looking at what the futures market is giving you.

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By CaerusTradingGroup, 4 yearsDecember 20, 2018 ago
Uncategorized

Grains COT update

Lately we’ve had some choppy trade in the Ag markets. Fundamentals seem to point lower, technicals seem to point higher, demand is sometimes robust and other times questionable, supply is ample, but the trade war looms over all. The market Read more…

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By CaerusTradingGroup, 5 years ago
Uncategorized

What to do with Corn

Over the past 3 weeks the Corn market has been a little bit volatile. This isn’t the rip your face of double limit up volatility of years past, but volatility in the new sense, the new normal…for now. We’ve seen Read more…

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By CaerusTradingGroup, 5 years ago

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